Crazy McCain’s ingenious campaign
Writing by abuhatem on Thursday, 28 of August , 2008 at 4:44 pm
I am very sorry that I write this, being that I am so biased against McCain in so many ways, but John McCain has run an ingenious campaign ever since he dropped his old advisers and picked up the Bush people. Yes, the Bush people. Just a few successes since late June to name a few:
- At the Saddleback forum McCain gave concice answers which seemed much more sincere than Obama, there was a hands down media consensus that he won that debate.
- McCain has hit and hit hard against Obama and has gone negative in very beneficial ways for him. The McCain campaign has painted Obama, who the public does not know yet as some sort of radical inexperienced guy with no ties to the heartland. The Tony Rezko ad really hit hard at Obama - as did the Paris Hilton ad after the Germany speech.
- This ad. Whatever you have to say about McCain, coupling his month of jabs and uppercuts at Obama with this positive congratulations ad that is to air before Obama’s speech in major battleground states, gives McCain a very positive perception:
Of course, Obama has made some very large strategic blunders himself. The Germany speech and other “big speeches” have added into the “rock star” image the Republicans are painting. The Biden pick, which I have criticzed before, was an absolute flop and instead of getting a bounce Obama actually dropped in the polls. The Democratic Convention has also not been hard enough on McCain.
I still think Obama holds the balance of power, even with Reagan democrats factored in. Obama has the money advantage, his speech tonight will really help his - already existent - network in Colorado, and the fact that the Clintons went so far praising him means that his party will be alot more united than it was a few months ago. Also, according to Rasmussen, Cook Political Report, RealClearPolitics, and fivethirtyeight.com Obama is leading in the electoral college count and is leading in key swing states.
The question is however, how in the hell is Obama neck and neck with McCain in national polls - which although don’t matter can be a negative sign if so close. Duckakis was 20 points ahead of George H.W. Bush in August, and all Barack Obama can do is a measily 1-2 - even losing in some national polls?
McCain right now is running the traditional Lee Atwater type Republican campaign - attack, attack, attack and paint a narrative - and history has shown it has worked (except in 1992). Obama can’t fall into the trap and become another lame duck John Kerry. He has to rise above this and be a Reagan or a Clinton. Even with everything going against him McCain has been able to spring forth some life and some hope just out of simple strategic campaigning. Obama should take heed now before its too late.
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